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A Workshop on the Turkey Flat Blind
Prediction Test was held at The Westin
San Francisco Airport Hotel on September 21, 2006.
It was a 1-day workshop that covered:
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comparisons of the
prediction results with each other and
with the observed ground motions
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site characterization
and comparisons of the preferred medium
models used by the predictors to each
other and to the standard model
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discussion of the
performance of various categories of
computational models used in the
predictions.
A total of 22
computational models were used in the
predictions, ranging from Shake-like
equivalent-linear methods to advanced
nonlinear methods, and the predictions used a
variety of soils models as well as the
standard. The workshop brought together
and compared the resulting prediction efforts
of 15 prediction teams. The results of this
blind test indicate that this is an
important and valuable experiment and should
be of interest to many individuals as well
as the prediction teams. The workshop wrapped up with consideration of directions for
future blind ground motion prediction
experiments.
Any follow-up information or materials
related to the workshop will appear on this
web page.
Download
Summary of Turkey
Flat Project (PDF, 927 KB)
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